SECAI Core · phase 8 of 15

Risk

Likelihood and impact (or consequence) of a threat actor exercising a vulnerability.

The Explain card

Plain English
Risk is the combination of how likely it is that a threat actor exploits a vulnerability and how bad the consequences would be if they did. Likelihood times impact.
Example
An internal AI assistant reaches HR documents through retrieval. The vulnerability is prompt injection via uploaded files. Likelihood is moderate because staff upload external documents daily; impact is high because salaries and disciplinary records could leak. That combination makes it a high risk worth fixing first.
Why it matters
Defenders cannot fix everything. Scoring risk lets you spend limited time and budget on the exposures that actually matter, and explain the choice to leadership.
Hook
Risk equals how likely, times how much it hurts.

Where it sits in the deck

Phase 8: Governance, Risk, and Compliance Frameworks

Individual controls need a governance envelope — introduce the risk and compliance structures, standards bodies, and regulations that frame AI accountability at scale.