Annual Loss Expectancy
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Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE)
Annual Loss Expectancy (ALE) is the number you show leadership when "we should probably fix that" isn't persuasive enough. This is cyber risk explained in the boardroom as a dollar amount. When someone asks how bad a breach could get. It’s risk math that ends in dollars instead of shrugs. — This IBM Cost of a Data Breach Report 2024 gives us the hard data to back it up.
The ALE Formula: Security Spending in One Equation
ALE = ARO × SLE
This formula comes from quantitative risk analysis methodologies outlined in NIST SP 800-30 and formalized by the FAIR (Factor Analysis of Information Risk) framework:
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